First Alert Weather: A break from the rain before it returns Sunday

ROCHESTER, N.Y. (WHEC) — After a couple days of cloudy skies and falling rain, we will get a break with some sunshine under partly cloudy skies.

The sun has continued to move in this morning, and it will remain across the region through the afternoon. Highs this afternoon will be below average, but on the comfortable side with highs in the mid and upper 70s. Today is the day you want to enjoy the outdoors because as we head into Sunday, changes are once again expected with showers rolling in.

Clouds increase tonight, and by the time we wake up Sunday morning, we will be stuck under mostly cloudy skies. Clouds will stick around through the day Sunday with shower chances increasing afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers are expected through the afternoon and evening hours Sunday. Showers Sunday afternoon do look to be on the light side before heavier rain becomes possible Sunday night. Numerical modeling remains uncertain for Sunday night as to where the heaviest of rainfalls. A few models have heavy rain falling just west of the region, while others have rain falling directly over the region. This will obviously play a big role in how much rain we see locally. The consensus among the models is showing rainfall amounts between .5" and 1" with localized heavier amounts. The heaviest of the rain totals push some areas over 2." A green alert is still in place for the region Sunday night and into Monday, but a yellow alert may have to be issued as we will see another chance for isolated flash flooding.

With all the rain we saw on Thursday it will take less rainfall this time around to cause flash flooding in some areas. The majority of the region is now below 1.5" of rainfall needed within one hour to flood, and with heavy showers once again possible we will again see the threat for flash flooding. We will keep you updated on the amount of rain expected over the next two days as more data becomes available.


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