First Alert Weather: Not a bad weekend, but we’ll have to dodge some raindrops

ROCHESTER, N.Y. (WHEC) – Fair weather returned on Friday, thanks to a bubble of high pressure over the eastern Great Lakes. This high will slide east, this weekend. Meanwhile, several upper level disturbances will move through, producing a little rain at times. Saturday still appears to be the drier weekend day, with a few isolated showers, especially during the afternoon. These should mainly be diurnally-driven, meaning they pop up with daytime heating, in addition to weak lake breeze boundaries. A little thunder isn’t out of the question. A disturbance passing by Sunday morning may produce a few showers early, with a better chance for some later day storms as a cold front approaches. The front should pass through late in the day, which isn’t ideal for producing severe storms. While scattered storms are expected, our severe threat is low.

We’ll see a clearing sky on Monday following the cold front, with highs holding in the lower 70s Saturday – Monday. A massive ridge that will be producing big time heat in the central US slowly noses east, bumping our temperatures into the mid to upper 70s on Tuesday, then into the 80s on Wednesday and Thursday with increased humidity. Rain and storm chances will go up slightly on Wednesday, with more widespread storms on Thursday as a cold front approaches. These storms may be worth watching, as we’ll have plenty of instability in place. The First Alert Weather Team will continue to monitor the severe potential later next week.