First Alert Weather:Significant weather avoided, but unsettled weather ahead this week

ROCHESTER, N.Y. (WHEC)— After light snow falling late last night, we will see drier weather move in locally today. A few isolated snow showers or flurries can not be ruled out early, but the sun returns as clouds break this afternoon.

Today will still be on the chilly side, and below-average side, as temperatures only warm-up into the mid and low 30s. Not too bad of a day either to get a head start on putting up those Christmas lights if you haven’t done so already, just bundle up today! However, the bulk of this week will be a bit unsettled with increased cloud cover and a chance for snow and rain showers ahead.

Our next chance for unsettled weather comes on Tuesday as another weak wave of low-pressure approaches from Canada. Throughout the day Tuesday, we will generally be cloudy, but there will be the chance for rain or snow showers. We will see rain showers this time around because a warm front will lift north during the day and keep us in the upper 30s through the afternoon and evening. Then after a break Wednesday, another shot for unsettled weather rolls in on Thursday.

Another area of low pressure will swing in from Canada, but this time we will be on the warmer side of things. Temperatures Thursday afternoon will make their way into the mid and low 40s, and with that, we will see rain showers roll through throughout the day Thursday.

The best day of the week to see rain or snow will be Thursday as this area of low pressure will be a bit stronger than the others. For those hoping the milder weather stick around, you are not in luck as a cold front swings through late Thursday and knocks our temperatures back into the 30s for the upcoming weekend. Also this weekend, another weak wave of low pressure will swing in with snow showers.

On Saturday, another weak clipper will swing in and bring us the chance for light snow showers to fall, but just like the rest of the storms, nothing significant is expected. The reason behind the lack of "significant" or "bigger" storms is due to the lack of interaction between the polar jet and subtropical jet.

Flow across the US this week will not be "curvy" which means that storms don’t have the opportunity to strengthen rapidly. Also, the lack of high latitude blocking will not force storms into the Ohio River Valley and along the East Coast. Models signal a potential change next week, but we will see as previous trends towards that have been smoke screens towards bleaker patterns.


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