Updated: April 26, 2021 10:15 PM
Created: April 26, 2021 03:26 PM
ROCHESTER, N.Y. (WHEC/AP) — The 2020 census numbers are in, and the results mean that New York will lose one representative in Congress.
That means New York will have one less electoral vote in the 2024 presidential election, bringing it down to 28 from 29 in 2020. It will be that way for the next 10 years. It was expected that New York could have lost as many as two representatives.
The numbers show the U.S. population rose to 331,449,281. The Census Bureau says that's a 7.4% increase, the second slowest ever.
Pennsylvania is also slated to lose one U.S. House seat and electoral college vote as its population growth lags behind the rest of the nation's.
Rhode Island was expected to lose a representative but clung to enough population to keep both of its two U.S. House seats.
Seats in the House are apportioned following a complicated formula based on each state’s population as determined by the once-a-decade national census.
The numbers released Monday, along with more detailed data expected later this year, will be used by state legislatures or independent commissions to redraw political maps to account for shifts in population. That process is expected to start in September.
News10NBC Political Analyst Kate Donovan says the process probably won't be completed until February.
Donovan says she's not sure how the change will impact Congressional districts in the Rochester and Finger Lakes areas, but she says she thinks most will stay the same.
"The 22nd Congressional District, that super close race between Claudia Tenney and Anthony Brindisi, that district is surely going to be looked at by the commission," Donovan said. "Same thing with the 24th district in Syracuse, John Katko's district. So these districts that are very, very marginal, I suspect will be more likely to change. Here in Monroe County, I suspect the 25th district will largely stay the same more or less going forward."
In the past, New York lawmakers have suggested eliminating Tom Reed's district, (R, 23), since he's already announced he's not seeking re-election. As of Monday, it has not been decided which district will the eliminated or what area of the state it will be in.
Sen. George Borrello (R, 57) released the following statement following the news that New York will lose a representative:
“Today’s U.S. Census report confirmed that New York’s outmigration is continuing, as residents and employers seek states with lower taxes, thriving economies and greater opportunities. While some may take heart that we didn’t lose the two seats many were predicting, trying to spin a ‘loss’ as a ‘win’ is a sad concession that we’ve set the bar for New York’s future far too low.
“By all accounts, New York’s Democratic leaders aren’t prepared to reverse the policies that have created this decline. Just the opposite: the Governor and New York City-controlled Legislature just authored and passed a budget that doubles down on their tax and spend strategy, with unprecedented increases in the personal income and corporate tax rates and unsustainable levels of spending. It is a budget that will act as an accelerant to the exodus that is clearly occurring.
“We need only look to the states who are the beneficiaries of the flight from New York – Florida, Texas, North Carolina, among others – to see what is luring away our citizens and our jobs. It isn’t complicated: they offer low personal income and property taxes and business policies that stimulate, rather than stifle, expansion and investment.
“We have the opportunity to heed the warnings in this data and commit ourselves to a government that will stop bowing to radical special interests and, instead, prioritize the pro-growth policies we need to reverse our population loss and secure our future.”
In 1940, New York had the most representatives it's ever had at 45. By 1970, the state was down to 39, in 2000, 29 and in 2010, New York lost two more.
New York lost its most recent seat by a slim margin, just 89 people. Now, the state will have 26 representatives.
New York actually saw its population grow by 4% since the last census. Other states just saw a larger margin of growth.
Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, Oregon and Texas will all gain seats.
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