News10NBC's exclusive poll reveals 'comfortable' lead for Morelle

November 01, 2018 09:00 AM

Despite her advanced age, it came as a shock to the community when 88-year-old Louise Slaughter passed away in March.

For more than 30 years, she had represented the 25th Congressional District. She was first elected to the House of Representatives in 1986 when Ronald Reagan was president.


Slaughter's passing left a void, and had many wondering who would fill her shoes to represent the district which covers much of Monroe County.

In June, Democrats went to a familiar name with a long tenure in state politics. Assembly Majority Leader Joe Morelle easily emerged from a four-person primary to win the nomination.

For Republicans, there would be no primary. The nomination would go to a political novice--a local, well-funded neurosurgeon -- Dr. James Maxwell.

Maxwell announced his candidacy in January even before Slaughter had passed away.

Both the Morelle and Maxwell campaigns have spent a lot of money during this midterm election hoping to convince voters that they are the best choice to succeed Slaughter. 

As of Wednesday night, News10NBC's exclusive poll, done in partnership with Dixie Strategies, shows Assembly Majority Leader Joe Morelle leading neurosurgeon Dr. Jim Maxwell by nine points.

The poll shows 48.6 to 39.5 percent.

While Morelle's lead appears comfortable, nearly 12 percent of likely voters still haven't made up their minds.

Brian Graham from Dixie Strategies says that Morelle is in a good place, but notes that while it may be difficult, there is still time for Maxwell to make up ground.

"He's plus nine in this race, which is a pretty good spot for him to be a week out from the election. Of course, turnout can always change and issues can always pop up, but being nine points up, if that was my client, I would be relatively comfortable," explained Graham. 

News10NBC is still going through the poll to see what each candidate's strengths and weaknesses are.

Any further results will be on News10NBC Today starting at 5 a.m. 


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