First Alert Weather: Great weather Thursday, then a Yellow Alert for flood potential Friday

ROCHESTER, N.Y. Enjoy what we have while we have it. Big changes are headed our way. We’ll see one more day of sunshine and mild air, with highs near 70 on Thursday.

Clouds thicken by Friday morning, and rain will develop through the morning hours from south to north. The rain will become steady by lunchtime and fall heaviest by evening and into the first part of the overnight.

This moisture is the remnants of what is currently Tropical Storm Nicole, so there is plenty of available moisture in the atmosphere. Some localized flash flooding may be possible, especially with lots of leaves still on the ground, which may clog drains and gutters.

Some basement flooding may also be possible, though we’ve been quite dry lately, so the ground will be able to absorb most of the rain. Heavy rain will likely impact any sporting events or Veterans Day activities Friday evening. A Yellow Alert is up for Friday as a “heads up” and to prepare for less-than-ideal weather that may cause some flooding.

The weekend: the rain pulls away by Saturday morning, leaving us with falling temperatures and a few stray lake rain showers around. Sunday and Monday will look and feel much more like late November, with highs in the 30s most of the day and some lake rain/wet snow showers.

There may be some lake snow nearby for the Bills game in Orchard Park on Sunday, along with a busy and chilly wind. If you are heading to Buffalo to see the Bills take on the Vikings, make sure to dress for winter, as it will finally be feeling like it!